Wednesday, December 13, 2006

Re: Pay per call ads $3.7 bill by 2010

wrote:
> Industry analyst firm the Kelsey Group estimates the market for Pay Per
> Call advertising will more than double each year for the next five
> years, with revenues reaching $3.7 billion by 2010. Because phone call
> leads enable businesses to directly engage with prospective customers,
> they convert to sales more often, which put phone calls at a
> substantially higher dollar amount than clicks. On Ingenio's system, the
> average advertiser bid per call is currently between $8-$10.
>

--

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

How To Build A Good Board


I've been sitting on early stage company boards for over 15 years now
and I've been on plenty of bad boards and good boards. As I've learned
the difference between the two, I've insisted on certain things when we
negotiate the composition of the board. That has significantly increased
the number of good boards I am on.

Here are the 10 key things I've learned (plus one because it's hard to
stop at 10). They are all appropriate for an early stage company board,
but maybe not all are appropriae as a company gets much larger.

1 - Have at least one founder on the board. Many VCs like to move the
founders out of the way. They think they will be difficult and meddle.
That's always a risk, but the benefit of having founders on the board
vastly outweighs any downside in my mind. Having too many founders on
the board is bad too. You want a diverse set of people on your board,
not any one concentrated group.

2 - Keep the number of VCs on the board to two or three. The number of
VCs on the board is in inverse proportion to the success of the deal.

3 - Local board members are better. They will come to the meetings.
Avoid too many board members who live elsewhere. They'll call into the
meetings. Trust me. And that sucks.

4 - Have at least one and ideally two industry insiders on the board who
are independent of the founders and the VCs. They should bring operating
experience. They should be mentors to the CEO. They should be local so
they come to the meetings.

5 - Do the meetings first thing in the morning when people are fresh. No
laptops and no blackberries other than the laptop that drives the
presentation if one is needed.

6 - Bring the senior management to the board meetings. They should know
the board and the board should know them.

6 - Try to do a dinner the night before at least four times a year with
all the directors attending. Don't bring senior management to these
dinners. They should be for board bonding which is key to a well
functioning board.

7 - Always send the agenda and board materials at least one day in
advance of the meeting and expect/demand that the members read it before
coming to the meeting.

8 - Do not spend the meeting going through the materials slide by slide.
People can read, expect that they will.

9 - Do spend the meeting reviewing where the business is, where it needs
to go, and what strategic decisions need to be made to get there.

10 - Remember that the board works for the Company as much as the
management works for the board. Expect board members to do what you need
from them and manage them to make sure they do.

11 - Keep your board to seven members or less. Five is ideal in my
experience but sometimes you need seven to get the right diversity. Two
insiders, one to three VCs, and one to two industry people is ideal once
the company gets to a certain scale.

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Yahoo in image advertising test on mobile phones

*http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/07/AR2006110700089_pf.html*

By Eric Auchard
Reuters
Tuesday, November 7, 2006; 1:16 AM

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Yahoo Inc.
<http://financial.washingtonpost.com/custom/wpost/html-qcn.asp?dispnav=business&mwpage=qcn&symb=YHOO&nav=el>
(YHOO.O) is to begin delivering graphical ads to mobile phones as part
of a test of how it can extend corporate brand marketing on the Web into
the wireless market, the company said on Monday.

The Internet media company said it will start an initial public
evaluation later this week in the United States of slimmed-down banner
ads and similar advertising to the small, but growing number of users of
Yahoo's Mobile Web service.

"The challenge is that because cellphone screens have limited real
estate, ads have to more relevant," said Julie Ask, an analyst with
JupiterResearch.

"There is an extra burden" compared to ads delivered to computer users
on the Web.

The brand advertising trial comes a month after Yahoo began a parallel
test to deliver relevant text advertisements tied to searches phone
users can perform on mobile Web browsers. That test is taking place in
the United States and Britain.

Banners ads are nothing new on cellphones. Start-ups like Third Screen
Media of Boston already work with ad agencies, buyers and mobile
carriers to deliver ads to wireless users.

But as more and more U.S. mobile phone users own phones with fast
Internet access, major Internet players are eyeing the market. On the
computer Web, Yahoo is the largest provider of image-based, brand
advertising and the No. 2 supplier of online search advertising behind
rival Google Inc.
<http://financial.washingtonpost.com/custom/wpost/html-qcn.asp?dispnav=business&mwpage=qcn&symb=GOOG&nav=el>
(GOOG.O).

It's a potentially lucrative market.

Because consumers carry mobile phones with them around town, advertisers
are willing to pay several times more for wireless ads as they for
standard computer ads over the Internet.

"The bottom line is there should be a premium for mobile advertising,"
Ask said.

Now consumers can click on interactive ads to learn more details about
an advertiser's offer or to call the advertiser. The ads, which measure
150 pixels by 21 elements, are images that take up a small portion at
the top of the screen.

Yahoo's Mobile Web service is available on most phones offered by major
wireless operators in the United States. It gives consumers access to a
basic set of Yahoo services, including search, e-mail, news, stock
quotes and sports.

JupiterResearch estimates that 10 percent of U.S. mobile users browse
the Internet on their phones. But only 2-3 percent check the Web on
their phones at least five times a week -- a key measure of active
Internet use and advertising readiness.

"Now is the time for Yahoo to experiment," Ask said.

As more U.S. users sign up for high-speed mobile Internet services and
buy newer phones, "Eventually consumers will treat the phone as a
mini-Web experience," Ask predicts.

Thursday, November 02, 2006

Google radio ads!!

Check this out, google wants to do local ads over radio to support
"local search", radio is NOT the answer what if you are listening to a
CD or other device here is how local "radio" ads work with our device.
- radio ad locations are geocoded
- As you approach an ad location, a voice-ad, it is downloaded in MP3
to the Icecube
- A notice pops up on the device that shows the availability of the ad
- User can touch the screen to hear the ad.

Is a Google-Clear Channel deal at hand?

Steve Rosenbush

<mailto:steve_rosenbush@businessweek.com>

http://www.businessweek.com/the_thread/dealflow/archives/2006/11/is_a_google-cle.html

Google, known for its cutting-edge Internet software, may be setting its
sights on the low-tech radio market, according to one media and
entertainment analyst. David Bank, of RBC Capital Markets, issued a note
yesterday saying he thinks it would make a lot of sense for Google to
take a minority stake in radio, TV and outdoor advertising giant Clear
Channel Communications.

The idea might seem strange at first, but there are reasons why such a
deal could work, according to Bank. Clear Channel is exploring strategic
options. And Google may be gearing up to acquire a large chunk of
advertising inventory, as part of a plan to expand beyond its core
search business. link.
<http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/oct2006/tc20061024_318265.htm?chan=search%20target=>
He says Google has been adding "high profile" radio sales people in New
York, Washington, Baltimore, Atlanta, and Chicago. It has little radio
inventory to sell, though. Bank concludes that Google needs to add
inventory, and that Clear Channel is the best option.

Why would Google, of all companies, are about the radio market? Bank
says Google has its eyes on the local search market, where it sees an
opportunity to sell ads to people looking for nearby goods and services.
"The radio market is by definition a local market, deriving 80% of its
revenue from local advertising," Bank says. "So the radio market would
be a logical add-on for Google."

Google could play a role in a buyout without putting up much cash. Clear
Channel has an enterprise value of about $25 billion, suggesting that a
"club" of private equity firms and other investors might put in a total
of $5 billion to $6 billion in equity. Any one of them could get a small
but strategically important stake of, say, 5% or so, by investing $250
million in cash.

Google's stock closed today at $467.50. The stock, which dropped below
$350 last winter, has been on a tear because investors believe its
expansion into new markets holds promise.

Thursday, October 26, 2006

Portable Navigation Devices to Outsell In-vehicle Nav Systems, Says TRG
TRG - May 13, 2005

Aside from commercial or marine applications, most global positioning systems (GPS) are installed in cars --helping people get from point A to B while driving. But market research firm TRG says a new breed of navigation systems is about to change this, as millions of consumers will soon get driving directions via their cell phone or PDA.

Navigation systems are most often sold as original equipment by the auto makers. They typically include a color screen in the center console that provides maps and turn-by-turn driving instructions. These systems also provide voice output so the driver can keep their eyes on the road while driving.

But vehicle navigation systems are costly options, and customers that opt for these features are typically buyers of luxury cars or high-end SUVs. According to a TRG/Metafacts Consumer Survey, 61% of navigation systems go into luxury vehicles.

But a new class of systems--called PNDs (for Portable Navigation Devices)--is about to make these features very affordable. "These portable solutions offer almost the same functionality as in-vehicle navigation systems, but at a fraction of the price," said Phil Magney, TRG's principal telematics analyst.

With entry prices starting as low as $300, portable navigation devices come with color displays and removable memory cards. They function much the same as the OEM-fitted solutions--often using the same map database providers. And since PNDs are portable, they can be taken from car to car - a big advantage to consumers who would not want to limit the use of a navigation system to one vehicle.

The PND category actually evolved from Pocket PCs, as they are about the same size and feature similar hardware. In fact, most Pocket PCs or PDAs can be turned into navigation devices when connected to a GPS receiver. Similarly, some cell phones (a.k.a. smartphones) can be converted into navigation devices--obtaining map and traffic data "on-demand" from central servers.

According TRG reports, in-vehicle navigation system sales are projected to top 8.5m units this year, while portable navigation devices (PNDs) will come in close to 8.2m units. By 2011, TRG expects annual sales of in-vehicle navigation systems to exceed 20m units while PNDs should exceed 100m units.

Navigation System Potential - Yearly Sales
(in millions of units)

Device Type USA 2005 USA 2011 WW 2005 WW 2011
In-vehicle Nav Systems 1.17 4.4 8.5 20.2
Portable Nav Devices 1.45 17.8 8.17 109.9
- Dedicated Nav Devices 0.68 2.29 4.11 12.5
- Smartphones/PDAs w/Nav 0.48 6.63 1.86 28.3
- Cell phones w/Nav 0.29 8.9 2.20 69.1
Total In-vehicle & PND 2.62 22.2 16.7 130.2

Source: TRG, 2005

pnd sales market opportunity size

Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Mobile Phone Subscribers Support Incentive-Based Advertising

A new report has found that about one-quarter (26%) of current mobile
phone subscribers say they would be willing to watch advertising on
their cell phone if in return they were to receive free applications for
their phone. Smaller numbers (7%) of wireless subscribers say they would
be interested in receiving promotional text messages if they were relevant.

"This seven percent 'coalition of the willing' represents a huge market
given the fact that there over 200 million cell phones in the United
States. Wireless Service Providers need to balance the value of
advertising revenue with the potential of irritating their subscriber
base which could potentially increase churn," said Joe Porus, Vice
President and Chief Architect for Harris Interactive.

These are some of the results of a nationwide online survey of 1,125
U.S. adults conducted by Harris Interactive between August 9 and 14, 2006.

Advertising on cell phones is yet another sign that wireless
communications is changing the nation's social fabric and the way people
communicate. The survey found that 38 percent of wireless subscribers
say they now consider wireless to be their primary form of communication
and one in three (36%) believes that cell phone service is more personal
and direct than land line telephone service.

Of note, in April 2005, one in 10 (9%) U.S. adults said that they had
abandoned their wireline (landline) telephone service completely in
favor of using their wireless phone exclusively. At that time, another
five percent said that they were seriously considering this and would
switch within a year and forty-seven percent said that they were
somewhat considering it.

Joe Porus further comments, "Ma Bell could become a name for Trivial
Pursuit?before you know it as more and more consumers are cutting the
cord and going wireless only. Ultimately consumers see wireless as a
more convenient, cost effective and personal form of communication. So,
targeted cell phone advertising seems a natural development in the
wireless phenomenon."

http://www.cellular-news.com/story/20011_print.php

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Europe Takes to Location-Based Cell Service

http://www.businessweek.com/print/technology/content/oct2006/tc20061013_164404.htm

Services that give cell-phone users place-based info fast are finally taking hold in Europe—and are welcomed by revenue-hungry providers

Five years ago, mobile-phone makers and wireless operators waxed poetic about the prospects for technology that would offer consumers maps, traffic reports, and localized search from the palm of their hands. But the march toward so-called location-based services was impeded by primitive phones, pokey connections, and a dearth of enticing applications. "Uptake was a catastrophe," bluntly declares Ralph Eric Kunz, vice-president of multimedia experiences for handset giant Nokia (NOK ).

Now, thanks to higher-resolution color screens, faster wireless data links, and the arrival of browser-enabled handsets, the picture is finally beginning to brighten. Sales of software and services that let consumers find a nearby post office or the fastest route to a destination are finally starting to take off. And mobile operators burned by the previous wave of hype are dipping their toes back into the business. Swedish-Finnish operator TeliaSonera, for instance, now offers 10 location-based services, including Yellow Pages, weather information, route displays with voice prompts, and a "friend-finder" capability.

The success of such services is key for carriers looking to encourage wireless data usage to compensate for sagging voice revenues. And after a half-decade of gestation, growth finally is expected to be brisk. Wireless research firm Berg Insight of Gothenburg, Sweden, figures European operator revenues from location-based services will soar from $180.5 million last year to $780 million by 2010. Still, they'll only account for 1.8% of nonvoice services.

FAMILIARITY FACTOR. One reason consumers are more open to location-based services on mobile phones is that they have grown familiar with standalone navigation devices from companies such as Holland's TomTom. PC-based "geo" services—ranging from MapQuest maps to Google Earth (GOOG —also have whetted the appetite of customers who want to find places and things fast, and online. Analysts say the evolution to handsets is a natural.

Mobile operators are eager to muscle in. Berg Insight says that more than 50% of wireless providers in Europe now offer local information services of some sort. Most provide city maps and "points of interest" services, allowing people to find the nearest movie theater, for example. Some also have plunged into tracking services for businesses.

Norway's Telenor (TELN) offers a broad array of services, including maps and local weather. It has also piloted a free news-scrolling service, in which users paid a small fee to pull up the full article. In the U.S., Cingular Wireless (T ) aims to roll out a raft of location-based services by mid-2007.

BETTER ACCURACY. Another development that should help kickstart the business is Global Positioning System technology (GPS). The satellite network can locate objects with an accuracy of about 30 feet, vastly increasing the accuracy and utility of location-based services. By contrast, non-GPS location techniques, which involve finding a user by estimating his or her distance from nearby cell towers, are usually accurate only within a range of 300 feet.

Nokia plans to include a GPS transceiver chip from Texas Instruments (TXN) in its upcoming N95 smartphone, which will be available in the first quarter of 2007. Nokia's Kunz predicts that the rollout of GPS-enabled phones will happen even faster than the rollout of camera phones. Taiwan's Mio Technology also offers a phone-PDA-GPS hybrid called the A701 that runs on Microsoft's (MSFT ) Windows Mobile 5.0. ABI Research predicts that a quarter of all 3G handsets will include GPS capability by the end of 2008.

But despite the technological improvements over the past five years, operators and handset makers have to redouble marketing efforts to avoid another flop. A key factor is making the cost of wireless data services clearer to consumers. Orange UK, the British mobile arm of France Télécom (FTE ) is already trying to do that with the cost of mobile Internet access, offering unlimited evening and weekend browsing for $9.50 per month. Some location-based services are delivered free, while others are charged on a per-use basis.

Renewed optimism aside, industry sources admit that location-based services won't be a significant revenue generator for some time. But after the fiasco five years ago, analysts say the industry's more realistic approach is fitting. "You only get one chance to do it right," says Niek van Veen, a mobile-telecom researcher at Forrester Research in Amsterdam. For operators in search of new revenue streams, their moment has arrived.

Value of Local Search while mobile

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-17-2006/0004453023&EDATE=
Citisearch

"Consumers want trustworthy local content on the go and will
increasingly rely on their mobile devices to find that
information," said Greg Sterling, Principal Analyst at
Sterling Marketing Intelligence."Citysearch has a trusted
brand and their new mobile services will help
meet growing consumer demand."

MObile advertising $11.3 billion by 2011

Advertisers are warming to mobile phones as a way to tout
their brands. Mobile ad revenue will jump to $11.3 billion
worldwide by 2011, up from $871 million this year, says
Informa, a market research firm.

It forecasts that search-related mobile ad revenue will
climb to $1.5 billion in 2011, up from just $3 million this
year.
--

Local ad market opportunity size Borrell Associates $7.7 billion

http://www.medialifemagazine.com/artman/publish/article_7930.asp

Borrell Associates, which tracks online ad spending,
forecasts 21.8 percent local growth this year to $5.9
billion. It is forecasting 31.6 percent growth in 2007, to
$7.7 billion in local online ad spending. And even then it
will only be just past the halfway point, accounting for
roughly 30 percent all online advertising. It will still
have another 20 percent to grow to reach its proper share of
the 50/50 local/national ratio of offline media.
--
Media planners and buyers, responding to a recent poll by
Media Life, echoed this thinking. When asked what the most
appealing thing is about local online advertising, the
largest share--some 48 percent--agreed with this statement:
“Tight targeting. It allows me to find the audience I’m
after.” The second-largest share, 17.4 percent, agreed with
the statement: “Accountability. I like to see what I’m
getting for my money, and local web advertising delivers.”
---

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Mobile text ads response US euro etc.

Mobile Text Ads Lag
by Mark Walsh, Wednesday, Oct 4, 2006 6:00 AM ET
MOBILE TEXT ADS HAVEN'T QUITE caught on in the United States yet. The
response rate to text ads by U.S. mobile subscribers was only 7 percent
in August compared to rates as high as 29.1 percent in Europe, according
to new research by mobile measurement firm M:Metrics.

The lagging U.S. response rate partly reflects that text ads are far
less common here than in Europe, where subscribers are more accustomed
to getting them. Almost 67 percent of mobile subscribers in Spain, for
instance, reported receiving an SMS ad in August--compared to only 12.8
percent in the United States.

Still, even the U.S. response rate of 7 percent is far higher than for
many types of interactive ads. Hodgman likened the high response rates
to mobile text ads to those of e-mail in the Internet's early days,
before the explosion of spam. And as most commercial e-mail messages
then were sent by Internet service providers, so now most text ads are
sent by mobile operators promoting their services.

http://publications.mediapost.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=Articles.showArticleHomePage&art_aid=49116

Ad sales calculations good

Let's go to the numbers…. Froosh's income statement for YouTube looks
like this:

Home page ads: $175,000 a day x 30 days a month = $5.25 million in
revenue
One ad per videostream served @ 100,000,000 streams a day @ a $0.50
to $2.00 CPM = $50,000 to $200,000 x 30 days = $1,500,000 to $6,000,000
in revenue
For a total of about $7.5 million a month in revenue.

Says Froosh: "Call me crazy, but that means that just with its main page
alone, YouTube more than covers its bandwidth charge…"

Well, not so fast.

First, let's look at the numbers Froosh relies on. According to
PaidContent, Froosh's source for the numbers on which he builds his
projections, which does notYouTube is probably still running in the
red.seem to have verified the financial terms of the home page placement
conclusively (in comments, the reporter says it is "speculative"), the
$175,000 generates about 400,000 viewers for the advertiser. This
language suggests that it is may be a CPC deal, rather than CPM-based
and that makes more sense since the CPM at $175,000 per day with 400,000
viewers would be $437.50, which is high-bubble pricing that, to my
knowledge, no one pays for impression-based advertising today.

If it is a CPC deal and YouTube is generating one click in 50
impressions, it would take 20 million impressions to generate 400,000
viewers. Given that the site has about 40 million streams a day, it's
not beyond the realm of possibility that they generate that many clicks,
but one wonders whether the home page is seen even a small fraction of
the time—many streams come from embedded players, so there is no actual
contact with the YouTube site.

The second problem with Froosh's numbers is that he uses the figure
100,000,000 video streams a day to calculate other ad revenues.
PaidContent reports that YouTube streams only 40 million videos a
day—less than half the basis of Froosh's revenue calculation. And some
of that inventory is presumably consumed by the front page placement
(which would assume a home page clickthrough rate of four percent, not
beyond reason, but close), so let's say that YouTube has free inventory
of perhaps 30 million impressions a day, not 100 million.

If that's the case, at CPMs of between $0.50 and $2.00, the potential
revenue is only $15,000 to $60,000 a day, as little as $450,000 a month.

Now, let's discount all the revenue by 20 perent to account for the cost
of sales. And, because no sale is unnegotiated, let's assume that many
customers are paying less than the rate card. We can't guess what the
actual fees are, because they are unpublished and "speculative" at this
point, but we can assume that some of the days of the month are not
fully paid placements on the home page, whether because of discounts or
make-goods on inventory needed to meet advertiser expectations.

So, that's 20 percent off revenue for sales cost and let's say 20
percent off for discounts and make-goods, so the company is really only
likely to be making $175,000 on its home page every other day or so. At
a 40 percent discount for sales and discounts, the monthly revenue from
the home page leaves $3.15 million a month from the premium placement on
the home page.

Now, the CPM rate Froosh used for his calculation of other revenue is
pretty optimistic. Much of the AdSense inventory may sell for pennies,
rather than dimes or dollars, for example. I'm only going to say that a
$0.50 CPM is very aggressive and, therefore, YouTube probably makes less
than Froosh estimates. For argument's sake, let's agree they make the
low end of Froosh's estimates, another $1,500,000 a month.

Now, it looks more like YouTube's monthly revenue is probably closer to
$4.65 million. That still feels high, but I'm willing to live with it.
Does that make YouTube "wildly profitable" and Froosh argues?

Short answer: No. PaidContent does provide a figure for bandwidht used
daily by YouTube, about 200 terabytes a day. I've looked into streaming
and downloading bandwidth pricing and find that most providers are
offering a Gigabyte of throughput for around $0.85. That would place
YouTube's daily bandwidth costs at $170,000, or $5.1 million a month.

Let's be really aggressive and assume YouTube is getting a deep discount
from Limelight Networks, its hosting provider (though probably in trade
for equity, which investors need to be leery about, because it dilutes
the value of future shares and may represent a big increase in real
costs if the deal lapses). If Limelight is charging $0.45 a Gigabyte for
throughput, YouTube's costs are $90,000 a day and $2.7 million a month.

But throughput isn't all the costs YouTube is paying for. Storage of all
that data costs something, especially as you have to replicate data
across the world to support high-performance playback. These costs are
factored into Limelight's pricing. In other words, Limelight is probably
charging something closer to $0.65 per Gigabyte than $0.45.

Let's revise the bandwidth costs up to account for storage and
maintenance costs to $130,000 a day and $3.9 million a month.

I've never seen employee numbers for YouTube, but if it isn't 50 people
I'd be surprised. At an average salary of $50,000 a year, the company is
looking at about a quarter million a month for salaries. Add other
overhead, such as office space, computers, accounting and marketing, and
you're looking at about $400,000 to $450,000 a month in salaries and
general and administrative costs.

So, finally, back to the numbers. Is YouTube "wildly profitable"? If we
take the adjusted numbers and add in expenses, the answer is certainly "No."

Total Revenue is $4.65 million a month after sales costs and discounts.
Bandwidth/Hosting Costs: $3.9 million a month
Salaries, G&A and other costs: $450,000 a month
Profit = $300,000 a month or a net margin of about 6.4 percent.

That looks like YouTube may be breaking even, but we've been generous in
revenue calculations and, perhaps, in the cost of people and operations.
YouTube is probably still running in the red.

Admob- click-through rate 3-4% Mobile ads


--------------------
Admob Serves 250 Million Ads
Related Topics: Adv/Marketing — Permalink - Comments (1) [by james]
E-Mail This Post/Page

Pay-per-click mobile advertising company AdMob has announced it has
served 250 million page impressions per month now (worldwide), and it
started eight months ago. More interesting, its click-through rate is
3-4%, which is a lot higher than similar ads on the web but a lot lower
than some other forms of mobile advertising. The real question with the
click-through rate is whether mobile advertising is inherently more
valuable to consumers so they use it more or whether the higher rate
compared to the web is based on novelty and accident value…

-----------------------
Yahoo To Show Search Ads On Mobile Devices In US,UK
http://www.cellular-news.com/story/19699.php

Yahoo said, so far, ad rates appear to be comparable to those seen for
the PC, but in time could prove to be even more lucrative.

- Yahoo has found that mobile users are receptive to search ads because
they are relevant and tend to enhance the user experience rather than
detract from it. Boom said he expects that the medium will attract
advertisers selling products and services that are interesting to people
when they are on the go, such as restaurants and travel-related companies.

http://www.cellular-news.com/story/19699.php

Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Mobile ads, $11 billion

Informa Telecoms & Media predicts that by 2007, advertisers will likely
spend over $11.35 billion worldwide on placing ads on mobile devices.

Informa predicts that there will be 2.1 billion mobile subscribers
worldwide 2007, and nearly 4 billion by 2011.

According to a survey conducted by Informa on 630 mobile consumers, 40
percent said they were willing to view ads when watching mobile TV and
video, 35 percent were willing to see ads when playing games, and 27
percent were willing to view ads to listen to music, (all in exchange
for reduced content costs). Text messages are apparently the least
undesirable way for consumers to receive ads.
--

Mobile ads ok if targeted properly

NEW YORK Consumers are ready to receive marketing messages on their cell
phones, but only if they're relevant to their interests, according to a
survey.

Roughly 80 percent of those polled said they're amenable to targeted
mobile ads. About 68 percent of those interested in getting ads would be
willing to provide some personal information to improve targeting.

"Consumers are ready for mobile advertising but an important caveat: ads
must be targeted," said Enpocket CEO Mike Baker, in a statement.
"Operators have the demographic, transactional and behavioral data
necessary to deliver marketing and advertising that meets consumer need
for relevant advertising on this most personal of devices."

Enpocket, a Boston-based mobile marketing company, commissioned a survey
by Harris Interactive of 1,200 consumers already using mobile Web
services in the United States, United Kingdom and India.

Mobile marketing has been slow to catch on, particularly in the U.S.,
which has lagged European and Asian markets in adopting data services.
Research firm eMarketer projects U.S. mobile marketing spending of $220
million next year, rising to $435 million in 2009. In its "most
aggressive" outlook for the new market, mobile-marketing spending would
reach top $760 million.

On the down side, the survey also found some consumer reticence to
direct marketing via text message, the most common form of mobile
advertising today: 58 percent of respondents said they preferred banner
ads on mobile Web sites to text messages from brands.

Overall, the survey found mobile marketing still lags behind traditional
media in consumer acceptance. Only 37 percent said text message ads are
acceptable, compared to 74 percent for newspaper ads and 69 percent for
TV commercials.

http://www.adweek.com/aw/iq_interactive/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003190108

Monday, October 02, 2006

MObile Entertainment Stats

Almost every wireless industry conference has its obligatory "carrier bashing" panel of mobile content start-ups and medium-sized companies complaining about how mobile carriers do not "get" content. With few exceptions, the parade of statistics, anecdotes and panelist opinion seem to pull on Star Wars imagery of plucky rebels taking on an entrenched empire.

Carrier representatives typically take such criticism in stride, secure in the knowledge that the vast majority of content start-ups need carriers more than carriers need content. Those with sharp ears can pick up the translation of a typical carrier position on mobile content as "Yes, compelling mobile content and services are critical to our future business, but no, we're not going to do much more than point developers and/or content originators to our portal where they can upload it." Why the contradiction?

It could be that carriers are being true to the stereotype, which makes the fact that they somehow muddle through to make huge profits all the more infuriating. However, the truth is a bit more complex, even though a simple reading of the revenue numbers makes the carrier strategy of offering full moral support (and little else) not as duplicitous as conference audiences are sometimes led to believe. Indeed, it might just be a very sensible way to go.

Marketers should remember that mobile content has been talked up since at least 1997, when some of the first wireless application protocol (WAP) phones came out. Next year will make a decade, so it might be a good time to check out just how much real money all that effort has generated. If we dig into the money side, it is clear that non-voice services constitute only a small part of the overall revenue pie. This chart from the end of last year projects total mobile revenues to rise by about $300 billion over the next four years to reach $1.5 trillion by 2010.


In October 2005, Morgan Stanley pegged non-voice revenues at $74 billion, of which some 70% were related to messaging (SMS, MMS, IM, mobile e-mail). Even in mobile-data-heavy Japan, the largest mobile Internet category in terms of usage continues to be e-mail.

Taking a look at the non-voice, non-messaging market of pure-play mobile content, the current global mobile content revenue figure is about $20 billion. At current growth rates, that market should double by 2010.

In the US, the latest eMarketer numbers show that messaging still leads the non-voice category and will continue to dominate for the foreseeable future. By 2010, there is a decent chance that entertainment services and content might equal messaging as a non-voice revenue generator. But that is a long way off in mobile Internet years.

More to the point, if we look at how US subscribers are actually using their mobiles, we see that different flavors of messaging, text and photo overshadow other categories. It seems that despite the best efforts of wireless marketers inside and outside of carrier organizations to convince consumers otherwise, most people still believe and act as if the mobile handset is a communications device after all.

Thus, by 2010, the preceding charts suggest that the pure-play mobile content sector will account for about 3% of total wireless revenues. Conference panelists can dress it any way they want. But the carriers are not being conniving when on the one hand they say that mobile content is very important to them and then do little to follow it up. If they say that content does not count, they have painted themselves into a corner to where they are mobile voice providers — no more and no less. This will make life very uncomfortable for certain operators that spent billions on 3G licenses on the idea that people would use their mobiles for content. Strategic maneuvering aside, the fact is that non-messaging-based mobile content as a stand-alone source of revenue is and will remain trivial to the mobile carriers.

For that bit of industry gloom, marketers should only give thanks. The inability of both mobile carriers and content providers to create a substantial, sustainable, transaction-based mobile content market means that they need to work with brands to make mobile Internet work. Most of that work will involve messaging of some kind or another. Stay tuned next month for eMarketer's report on the state of mobile message marketing around the world. Click here to be notified when it is released.


Friday, September 29, 2006

Local Search Stats

-----------------------------
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/060928/cgth027.html?.v=76
Approximately 109 million people (63% percent of U.S. Internet users)
performed a local search online last July, a 43% increase over July
2005, according to comScore research:

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

(LBS) Subscribers Will Total 315 Million

GPS-Enabled Location-Based Services (LBS) Subscribers Will Total 315
Million in Five Years, According to ABI Research

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--In 2011, the total population of GPS-enabled
location-based services (LBS) subscribers will reach 315 million, up
from 12 million in 2006, according to a new study from ABI Research. Put
another way, that represents a rise from less than 0.5% of total
wireless subscribers today to more than 9% worldwide at the end of the
study’s 5-year forecast period.

“Regions of greatest growth will be North America and Western Europe,”
says senior analyst Ken Hyers. “The Asia-Pacific region will have strong
growth as well, but it will vary by market. Leaders South Korea and
Japan will continue to be engines of LBS growth, but North America,
which has seen strong business use for several years, is expected to see
significant consumer uptake in 2007 and beyond.”

The LBS market took off first in South Korea and Japan, driven by
personal navigation and some family- and people-finder services. In the
United States, Nextel and Sprint initially drove LBS adoption with a
focus on fleet applications. In 2006 Verizon Wireless also entered the
market and has three applications available currently, with as many as
five more planned for rollout over the coming months.

Market growth in Western Europe has been limited by the fact that very
few GSM/WCDMA handsets have GPS, but ABI Research expects that beginning
in 2007 and increasing in 2008, many more WCDMA 3G phones will contain
GPS chipsets, allowing operators to offer LBS. Anticipating this, at
least one additional operator will be offering GPS-enabled LBS in Europe
starting late in 2006. ABI Research expects that in 2007 at least four
major operators in Western Europe will follow suit.

“GPS services will drive the adoption of UMTS 3G handsets,” says Hyers.
“3G growth has been limited by customers’ low uptake of many 3G
services, making it uneconomical for operators to subsidize these
handsets heavily. GPS-enabled LBS is expected to lead subscribers to use
more 3G data services, and thereby to drive overall 3G handset sales.”

ABI Research’s new study, Location-Based Services
(http://www.abiresearch.com/products/market_research/LBS),

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Dash navigation pricing $600-800, $10-15/month

http://reviews.cnet.com/4532-10921_7-0.html?keywords=DemoFall2006

Dash did not make any official announcements as to pricing or
partnerships with carriers and search engines. However, the company did
say the Dash Express will cost around the $600 to $800, while the Dash
service will be similar to satellite radio subscription rates ($10 to
$15 per month). California drivers will be able to get the product first
as it hits select retailers in early 2007, while a national release is
expected in summer 2007. Stay tuned as we get more details and take one
out for a test-drive.

Dash Pricing

Dash did not make any official announcements as to pricing or
partnerships with carriers and search engines. However, the company did
say the Dash Express will cost around the $600 to $800, while the Dash
service will be similar to satellite radio subscription rates ($10 to
$15 per month). California drivers will be able to get the product first
as it hits select retailers in early 2007, while a national release is
expected in summer 2007. Stay tuned as we get more details and take one
out for a test-drive.

Monday, September 11, 2006

Compal Communications lands second GPS PND order from ViaMichelin

Compal Communications lands second GPS PND order from ViaMichelin

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Related stories

Hot systems
Ruby Huang, Taipei; Adam Hwang, DigiTimes.com [Friday 4 August 2006]

Compal Communications, a major handset maker in Taiwan, has obtained a
second order for in-car GPS (global positioning system) portable
navigation devices (PNDs) from ViaMichelin following on a previous order
for ViaMichelin's X-950T, according to industry sources. Compal declined
to comment on the report.

Founded by the Michelin Group at the end of 2000, ViaMichelin is a
provider of GPS navigation solutions and products in the European market
and launched its first in-car PND model, the X-950T, in March of this
year, the sources indicated.

As ViaMichelin's second PND model is equipped with Bluetooth to connect
with communication devices and has an entry to medium level in price
range, Compal's experience in making GSM, CDMA, 3G handsets, Smartphone
and PDAs as well as its strength in procuring components, allowed the
company to win the bid, the sources indicated.

Thales Navigation Sells Magellan

San Dimas, Calif. — Thales Navigation, which markets the Magellan GPS
brand, and which is a division of Thales, has been purchase by an
investment group led by Shah Capital Partners for at least $170 million.

The new company will be known as Magellan.Henri Gaillard will remain CEO.

The purchase will help give Magellan more entrepreneurial freedom and
allow it to respond to market trends more quickly, said Gerald Hwasta,
operating partner of Shah Capital, noting that former owner Thales was a
defense conglomerate.

“Seven to ten years ago, Thales was a good owner for the business as it
sold more to professional markets,” said Hwasta.“As the GPS segment has
evolved, there’s been incredible growth in the consumer devices.” Shah
plans to “bring flexibility into the organization” and “put into place
consumer electronics best practices,” said Hwang.

Private equity investors in the group include Tudor Group, Galleon
Group, Consolidated Press Holdings, AIG Sun America and Eli Broad.

While NPD ranks Magellan as the third leading GPS brand in the US, with
14.2 percent of the market compared to Garmin’s 47.8 percent and
TomTom’s 25.2 percent share (from March through May 2006 in sales to
consumers), Magellan claims it is the number two brand with about 29
percent market share.It notes that NPD does not track sales in Radio
Shack, Wal-Mart and warehouse clubs. “Some of our biggest accounts are
those that NPD does not track,” said GaillardThales Navigation Sells
Magellan

Thales Taiwan GPS makers eye ODM orders from Thales Navigation

Thales Navigation, a leading provider, worldwide, of GPS (global
positioning system) navigation solutions and products, will be sold this
quarter to an investment group led by Shah Capital Partners (SCP), and
this may cause a change in the former's outsourced production
strategies, with several Taiwan makers interested in its new ODM orders,
according to industry sources in Taiwan.

Thales Navigation, headquartered in California, is a subsidiary of the
France-based electronics firm Thales, which focuses on aerospace and
defense technology. Thales Navigation will be renamed Magellan
Navigation following the acquisition by SCP, the sources indicated.
Thales Navigation has two GPS consumer-level lines under its brand
Magellan, the RoadMate series of in-car portable navigation devices
(PNDs) and the eXplorist series of outdoor handheld navigation devices,
the sources noted.

Kinpo Electronics, in Taiwan, has undertaken OEM production and assembly
of the RoadMate and eXplorist products for Thales Navigation. When
Thales Navigation reduced its R&D staff and outsourced product design,
in 2005, in an effort to minimize costs, Mitac International, another
Taiwan electronics manufacturer, received ODM orders for the RoadMate
800 series models, the sources indicated.

Unlike the RoadMate, the eXplorist product line has to be shockproof and
waterproof, to meet the needs of outdoor activities. Since Taiwan makers
have, to date, no substantial experience in developing products with
these features, Thales Navigation's eXplorist ODM orders will pose a
challenge to their design capability, the sources pointed out. However,
Kinpo, Mitac and other Taiwan makers, such as Lite-On Technology and
Jabil Circuit, are poised to compete for such ODM orders, the sources
added.

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Americans get texting as SMS catches on


By Paul Taylor in New York

Published: August 29 2006 23:56 | Last updated: August 29 2006 23:56

After years of lagging behind Europe and Japan in the adoption of mobile
text messaging, US subscribers have finally caught the SMS (short
messaging service) bug.

A total of 48.7bn SMS messages were sent in the last six months of 2005,
up 50 per cent from 32.5bn in the first six months of last year,
according to the Cellular Telecommunications Industry Association (CTIA).

About 40 per cent of the more than 200m mobile phone subscribers in the
US now use text messaging, up from 25 per cent in 2003 but still far
behind the 60 per cent plus penetration rates in Europe.

“The US has been slow to adopt SMS,” admits Jim Ryan, vice-president in
charge of consumer data services at Cingular Wireless, the largest US
mobile carrier. Nevertheless, he believes that is changing.

Recent growth in mobile text messaging volumes reflects the success of
the leading US mobile carriers including the big three – Cingular,
Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel – in boosting subscriber awareness of
the service, which allows almost any mobile phone user to send a text
message of up to 160 characters almost instantly. Cingular has seen its
lucrative SMS traffic surge, boosted in part by SMS voting for
contestants on American Idol, the TV talent show.

Over the past year Cingular, a joint venture between AT&T and BellSouth,
recorded 64.5m SMS votes for American Idol, up 52 per cent from the
previous season. “American Idol was big and started people messaging,”
said Mr Ryan.

Overall Cingular had 26.5m active data customers and delivered 8.7bn
text messages and 131m multi-media messages – mostly camera phone images
– in the latest quarter.

Mr Ryan believes text messaging has been slower to take off in the US in
part because the economics of texting were not so compelling in the US
as elsewhere, and because early adopters – typically business
professionals and youth – had greater access to mobile e-mail devices.

Mobile carriers in the US have begun to address the first issue by
offering subscribers bundles of lower-cost SMS messages that start at $5
a month for 200 messages and make text messaging more financially
attractive. At the same time US carriers are actively seeking to educate
their subscribers about SMS.

Monday, August 28, 2006

Mobile advertising $900 mil market


Analysts acknowledge that forecasts for the growth of mobile marketing
and advertising are just educated guesses, but Jupiter Research sees a
€700 million, or $895 million, market in Western Europe by 2010, up from
less than €100 million now. Ovum, a telecommunications consultancy,
forecasts a $1.3 billion U.S. market by 2010.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/08/27/business/ad28.php

Sunday, August 27, 2006

*** 411 great stats Local Search by mobile users

One can probably assume the same items will apply to Mobile Search
through a in-car mobile appliance

New 411 User Survey Points To Mobile Local Search Demand

Many Internet companies, especially some of the much-hyped Web 2.0
startups, are busy building tools and applications for which no
mainstream consumer demand actually exists. In my view that's what
killed many of early Internet companies after the first bubble burst –
there was no existing use case to sustain them.

But the opposite is true of nascent "mobile local search," a set of
half-baked tools and embryonic applications that seek to deliver local
content to wireless users. People are eager for local information on the
go; and when wireless data services become fast, easy to use and more
affordable, you'll see adoption ramp quickly. Remarkably, the user
demand for local content on mobile devices is much more developed than
the carriers' and wireless content providers' current mobile offerings.

It's in this larger context that I write about a new study released this
week from Tellme, an automated voice services provider and directory
assistance (411) wholesaler. The company engaged Harris Interactive and
surveyed 1,425 adult Americans about directory assistance usage. The
study was conducted between March 31 and June 7 of this year.

At the highest level, the survey revealed that the majority (55%) of
people calling 411 these days are doing so from wireless phones. (That
makes sense because the Internet/local search is often a 411
substitute.) The study also revealed demographic differences in behavior
and attitudes toward directory assistance. The findings showed, in
addition, that mobile 411 callers are most interested in entertainment
(restaurants, bars, movies), shopping and travel-related information.
And reading a little deeper you also get a fascinating sense of the
immediacy and intensity of user interest in local content in the mobile
context.

Directory assistance is a mature, multi-billion dollar industry in the
U.S. and Europe (although the industry structure in Europe is
different). It is based on a consumer pay-per-use model, although a
number of providers in the U.S., such as 1-800 Free-411 and
1-800-411-Metro, are now offering free, ad-supported 411 to consumers.

But as I lay out some the Tellme survey findings don't think about
"directory assistance" (i.e., "What city, what listing?") per se, think
about mobile local search with a voice interface. That's where directory
assistance is headed anyway: category search with a voice front end.

From a user-experience perspective the wireless industry must address
some of the more challenging usability issues before mobile data becomes
mainstream in the U.S. Imperfect though it is, voice is one of the
potential responses to some of those wireless usability questions.

On to the survey . . . First, the demographic findings:

As mentioned, 55% of all U.S. adults used 411 in a mobile context. That
number was even higher for 18 to 28 year olds (63%). According to the
findings only 26% said they used directory assistance most frequently at
home. Almost half of women use 411 one or more times a month as compared
with 37% of men.

The survey segmented the data by gender and according to three
demographic groups: Boomers (41-60), GenXers (29-40) and Millennials
(18-28). You can read the segmentation breakdowns by content category
usage in the release. In the aggregate, however, when users called 411
they were typically looking for the following information:

• Restaurants & Bars: 43%
• Retail Stores: 36%
• Hotels/Lodging: 24%
• Movie Theaters, Amusement & Recreation: 20%
• Transportation: Taxis & Airlines: 10%

Another interesting cluster of findings surrounded use of 411
"alternatives." In other words, what did people do when they didn't call
411? (I for example pay Sprint $1.25 every time I dial 411, so I don't.)
Again, there are differences by age and gender. But here are the overall
data:

• Called a family member: 58%
• Called a friend: 46%
• Stopped at a phone booth: 29%
• Called a colleague: 27%
• Torn page from phone book: 7%
• Booted up computer in the car: 7%
• Driven to wireless “Hot Spot”: 5%

These creative alternatives – we've all done some version of this –
reflect both the determination and the immediate need of mobile users to
get information en route to their destinations. I believe these
alternative behaviors also show a pent up desire for mobile applications
that are more flexible and versatile than today's 411 (i.e., "What city,
what listing?"). In other words, it reflects the demand for true "mobile
local search" capabilities. Friends at home, for example, can also look
up reviews, menus, store hours and so on.

According to mobile analytics firm Telephia 34.6 million U.S. wireless
subscribers accessed the Internet from their mobile phones in June of
this year. However, none of the top 10 mobile sites had a reach of more
than 3%. Here are Telephia's top 10 sites:

1. Yahoo! Mail
2. The Weather Channel (Weather.com)
3. ESPN
4. Google Search
5. MSN Hotmail
6. MapQuest
7. AOL Mail
8. CNN
9. Yahoo! Weather
10. Yahoo! Search

Last September, Telephia reported on the top mobile content categories:

1. Email
2. Weather
3. Search
4. Sports
5. News/Politics
6. Entertainment
7. City Guides/Maps
8. Games
9. Portals
10. Business/Finance

Earlier this year AOL released the results of its own mobile user
survey. Among the findings of that survey were that maps were the number
one "must-have" new feature. And last July TNS found that local content
(driving directions, restaurant reservations, and weather and traffic
alerts) topped the list of services that users wanted on their mobile
devices.

These myriad data points show the demand among wireless users for local
content is strong and that they'll go to some lengths to get it. And
unlike some of the startups online -- that will be waiting for a long
time for consumers to show up -- users already have an expressed desire
for mobile local search. It's now a question of the carriers and content
providers getting all their "ducks in a row" and making wireless data
services more affordable and more usable.

Friday, August 18, 2006

Lower Prices Boosting 10-GigE

Lower Prices Boosting 10-GigE
JULY 31, 2006

The 10-Gbit/s Ethernet market could be poised for a growth spurt, as
prices are getting down to the critical level to kick up some serious
demand, according to the latest Heavy Reading report.

That's the conclusion of "10-Gbit/s Ethernet Components: A Heavy Reading
Competitive Analysis," which was published last week. The report breaks
down the 10-Gbit/s market, looking at transceivers, transponders, and
chips, covering 225 devices from 38 vendors. (See Cheaper Chips Drive
Sales.)

Chip vendors "shipped as many 10-Gbit/s Ethernet devices in 2005 as they
did in the preceding three to four years combined," analyst Simon
Stanley writes in the report. "This activity at the components level
means significant growth in 10-Gbit/s Ethernet port shipments will
accelerate, as the cost reductions work through the supply chain."

That's good news to some, because while volumes have been enough to fuel
some cost reductions, they've been too low for some suppliers' tastes.

The ultimate demand for 10-Gbit/s Ethernet has never been in doubt,
particularly when it comes to short-reach environments such as data
centers or carrier hotels. The problem is that pricing has stayed high
enough to keep some customers from diving in wholeheartedly.

"Its deployment has lagged behind the forecasts because the prices were
higher than people expected, or higher than the value proposition,"
Finisar Corp. (Nasdaq: FNSR - message board) CEO Jerry Rawls tells Light
Reading.

Of course, 10-Gbit/s Ethernet isn't completely stalled -- otherwise
Force10 Networks Inc. wouldn't still be around. And transceiver modules
for 10 Gbit/s are fueling the IPO filing of Optium Corp. , although that
company sells to the Sonet market in addition to Ethernet. (See Optium
Files for $100M IPO.)

For each generation of Ethernet, the magic number has been between 3 and
4 -- that is, the next speed grade starts to take off when its price
falls to three or four times the previous generation's.

By some metrics, 10-Gbit/s Ethernet is finally getting there. Prices for
10-Gbit/s ports have only recently dropped to less than $10,000 per
uplink -- which, with 48-port switches on the market, translates to less
than $200 per user. That's finally an acceptable premium over the $50 to
$100 per port for Gigabit Ethernet.

Suppliers, likewise, are reporting a bounty of shipments. "We expect to
see 10-Gbit/s Ethernet shipments nearly triple this year from last
year," Mitch Kahn, Quake Technologies Inc. VP of marketing, tells Light
Reading.

If volumes didn't drive those prices down, what did? It's the chip
technology -- PHY prices are one-tenth what they were in the first
generation of 10-Gbit/s Ethernet, Stanley notes.

Modules are lowering systems prices, too, by getting smaller. The
industry started with the 300-pin multisource agreement (MSA) and has
been moving through smaller module generations since -- to Xenpak, then
X2, and eventually XFP.

And vendors are already working on the next step beyond the XFP
transceiver, called SFP+. It's even smaller -- Stanley reports it's
one-third the size of an XFP -- and pluggable. It's expected to bring
prices down even further by lowering power consumption while increasing
the potential port density of equipment. (See XFP Module Gets a Shrink.)

Quake has declared itself an SFP+ frontrunner, having recently announced
the necessary PHY chip for such a module. Not surprisingly, the company
now sees a bigger future for SFP+ than for the long anticipated XFP MSA.
"It looks like that's going to be displaced in favor of SFP+," Kahn
says. (See Quake Intros SFP+ PHY.)

That may be a bit hyperbolic, given SFP+ is only starting. Stanley notes
50 XFP modules are available from 13 vendors. XFP "is already being used
by OEMs across the industry for a wide range of applications," he writes.

The report compares the offerings of 38 vendors, noting that Finisar and
Broadcom Corp. (Nasdaq: BRCM - message board) offer the broadest range
in transponders and PHY chips, respectively.

— Craig Matsumoto, Senior Editor, Light Reading

Please don't feed the monkey. Copyright © 2000-2006 Light Reading Inc. -
All rights reserved.

Monday, July 10, 2006

MapQuest Mobile is Top Mobile Application

MapQuest Mobile is Top Mobile Application

MapQuest Mobile was the top revenue-generating downloadable mobile
application in the first quarter of this year, according to Telephia.
The Weather Channel came in second, with 5.7 percent of the total
revenue share, while Verizon Superpages 2.0 came in third posting a 5.3
percent share. Two music applications, Music Choice and Sirius Music,
rounded out the top five with revenue shares of five and 4.8 percent,
respectively.

"Local maps/directions and up-to-date weather are well-suited to
delivery via mobile phones because they are information needs
characterized by immediacy, location-specificity, and time-sensitivity,"
said Kanishka Agarwal, Vice President of New Products, Telephia.
"Downloadable mobile applications present a significant opportunity for
higher ARPU, with more than 3.3 million mobile consumers downloading
these applications during the first quarter of the year."

Top 10 Downloadable Mobile Applications by Total Revenue Share (U.S.)
Application Publisher Share of Revenue
MapQuest Mobile Zingy 21.9%
The Weather Channel Weather Channel 5.7%
Verizon Superpages 2.0 Verizon Directories 5.3%

Top Downloadable Mobile Applications by Repeat Purchase Revenue Share (U.S.)
Category Repeat Purchase Revenue Share (%) First-Time Purchase Revenue
Share (%)

Maps/Directions 39.5% 16.8%
Weather 18.9% 8.7%
Entertainment 12.0% 29.9%

Garmin Mobile Expands $9.99/month Content 10-Jul-2006 [Source: Garmin]


Posted: 10-Jul-2006 [Source: Garmin]

[Phones equipped with Garmin Mobile can now receive new content
including fuel prices, weather, and traffic information.]

When launching the powerful Garmin Mobile application, subscribers will
be greeted with the intuitive "Where to?" and "View Map" icons, which
are also found on other Garmin automotive navigators. They can then
navigate to an address in the United States, Canada, or Puerto Rico; or
search millions of points of interest (POI's) such as restaurants,
hotels, ATMs, shopping and tourist attractions. Garmin Mobile maps are
server-based and give consumers the most recent mapping available.

Consumers have unlimited access to all Garmin Mobile content -- which
includes fuel prices, weather conditions and forecasts, and traffic
content -- for just $9.99 per month.

http://www.mobiletechnews.com/info/2006/07/10/122539.html

Friday, July 07, 2006

Top Mobile Searches UK 07/06

Mobile Local Search Index Shows Biggest Brands on the Mobile

http://www.webitpr.com/release_detail.asp?ReleaseID=4235

m-spatial quarterly figures highlight revenue opportunities in mobile
local search preferences of UK consumers

Commenting on the Index, Andy Walker, CEO of m-spatial, said: “The
Mobile Local Search Index is expressly designed to highlight the types
of local businesses and amenities consumers are searching for and
finding on the mobile Internet. It has been created to underline the
increasing importance of mobile local search and the revenue
opportunities available to operators, brands and content providers by
developing a local presence on the mobile.”

Top Ten Local Search Brands* April - June 2006
Brand %

Tesco 18
Pizza Hut 15
McDonald’s 10
Asda (Food) 9
Domino’s Pizza 9
Halfords 8
Sainsbury's 8
Travel Inn 8
KFC 7
Argos 7

* based on the final chosen result of each individual mobile search by
brand. Percentage figures based on breakdown of searches to top ten brands

The Mobile Local Search Index also uncovers data on the categories of
business and services users are searching for while on the move,
including fast food, cinema, cash machines and taxis.

Top Ten Local Search Categories* April - June 2006
Category %

Fast Food & Takeaways 21
Drinking 15
Taxi 12
Cinema 9
Hotels 9
Cash Machines 9
Supermarkets 8
Electrical & Electronics 6
B&Bs 6
Clothing & Fashion 5

* based on the final chosen result of each individual search by
category. Percentage figures based on breakdown of searches to top ten
categories.

The category search data also highlights Italian restaurants as top of
the ‘world food’ rankings, with the UK’s generally acknowledged
favourite, Indian, being beaten into second place, ahead of British and
Chinese respectively.

“The category figures will perhaps come as little surprise, with
on-the-move mobile users searching primarily for fast food, pubs and
taxis. However, the top ten local search brands results are more
significant, highlighting the value that mobile local search can present
to these high street giants, “ said Andy Walker. “By requesting
information while in the vicinity of the store or restaurant, the
consumer is much closer to a buying decision than if they were simply
searching online. This knowledge is of incredible value to the brand,
and offers merchants an ideal opportunity to target their consumers
through contextual advertising – based on location and demands of the
user, and even using factors such as time of day."

Mobile Local Search Index rankings are based on usage of local search
services built on m-spatial’s Local Search & Discovery Engine (LSDE)™.
This is a unique platform enables m-spatial’s partners to provide highly
personalised, intuitive and detailed mobile local search services -
connecting local merchants with consumers at the precise moment of need.

The m-spatial Mobile Local Search Index will be published quarterly from
July 2006.

Thursday, June 08, 2006

Where in the world am I? Your phone might know


http://usatoday.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?action=cpt&title=USATODAY.com+-+Where+in+the+world+am+I%3F+Your+phone+might+know&amp;expire=&urlID=18437310&fb=Y&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Ftech%2Fproducts%2Fservices%2F2006-06-01-location_x.htm&partnerID=1660

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Where in the world am I? Your phone might know
Posted 6/1/2006 9:41 PM ET
By Edward C. Baig, USA TODAY
NEW YORK — Jacqui Fahrnow used to worry when she couldn't reach her
teenage boys on the cellphone.

"My oldest son wouldn't answer because he was playing basketball and
left the phone in his duffle bag," says Fahrnow, a single mom in
Shawnee, Kan. "It was a point of contention."

Now, Fahrnow has signed up for Sprint Family Locator by WaveMarket, a
wireless location-based service — or LBS — launched in April by Sprint
Nextel. From her own cellphone or the Web, Fahrnow can track the
whereabouts of her kids' cellphone in real time on an interactive map,
without them having to take a call.

The $10-a-month Sprint service, and most other emerging LBS technologies
that work on wireless phones, use the same Global Positioning System
satellites that keep car navigation systems on course. Fahrnow says
Family Locator has been accurate within 11 yards.

Since the late '90s, LBS has been linked to a host of intriguing, yet
somehow not-quite-ready-for prime time, mobile scenarios involving local
search and advertising, gaming, dating and perhaps most promising,
safety and security.

Yet, despite mounds of hype, few companies rolled out services, and LBS
has mostly been lost on regular consumers. LBS is the killer application
"that got killed on the way to mainstream," says Joe Astroth, vice
president of the Location-Based Services division at Autodesk, which
provides the technology to wireless phone carriers.

Now, there's evidence that LBS might have a pulse with the masses, after
all. Market researcher Frost & Sullivan forecasts the total LBS market
in the USA to exceed $600 million in 2008, up from about $90 million at
the end of 2005. "There seems to be a fair level of commitment to the
technology now, giving a big sigh of relief that it is finally
happening," says Ken Hyers, an analyst at ABI Research.

Several services recently made their debut or are coming soon. A sampling:

•When it arrives this month, Disney Mobile-branded phone service will
include a family finder capability akin to what Sprint is offering.
Verizon Wireless is about to launch a service called Chaperone. For $20
a month, parents can establish a virtual fence around a child's school
during set hours and receive a text message when a kid goes outside the
boundary. Similarly, Wherify Wireless is planning to peddle a locator
phone in the back-to-school timeframe.

•Verizon's Networks in Motion VZ Navigator service transforms certain LG
or Motorola phones into portable navigation systems for $10 a month, or
$3 for a day. The phone tells you where you are and which restaurants,
hotels and shops are nearby, and provides turn-by-turn directions to get
you to those destinations. Sprint offers a similar navigation service
through TeleNav.

•Sprint and InfoSpace recently launched a $3-a-month subscription-based
LBS search engine, InfoSpace FindIt, that lets you find local businesses
and services, and click to call them without dialing the number.

There are a raft of other offerings, from friend and pet finders to
lifestyle applications. In business, LBS has been used for managing
fleets and tracking mobile workers. Researcher In-Stat predicts growth
on the business side from 582,000 to 1.1 million subscribed devices by
the end of 2010.

Tech tools in place

Why now? For one thing, the technological infrastructure is largely in
place. Wireless carrier networks are faster and more robust. More phones
have decent color screens and extra horsepower to run LBS applications.

What's more, many cellphones, mostly those that work with Sprint Nextel
and Verizon networks, now incorporate GPS chips, partly as a response by
carriers to a government-mandated Enhanced 911 program that was phased
in at the end of last year. Uncle Sam wanted emergency workers to find
folks who dial 911 from their cells.

(Other companies met the E911 mandate through "triangulation" methods
that measure the time it takes signals to bounce off cell towers, or the
angle of those signals.)

Brent Iadarola, industry research manager at Frost & Sullivan, expects
the LBS market to get an additional boost in a couple of years when
carriers such as Cingular Wireless and T-Mobile add GPS capabilities.

Once companies know where a handset is, they can construct applications
that build on that knowledge. "If you're traveling on the interstate,
you don't (necessarily) want to find the nearest gas station if it's by
the exit you just passed," says Mike Gerling, president of map provider
TeleAtlas North America. "You want to find the next one."

Having the proper technology in place is only half the battle. Reaching
consumers and getting them to pay for services might be a bigger
roadblock. "I don't think the average consumer knows what location-based
services means," Gerling says.

The good news for the industry is that people are increasingly familiar
with in-vehicle and portable navigation systems. Based on its monthly
online survey of 50,000 U.S. households, market researcher Synovate says
about 20% more Americans bought a GPS system in 2005 than 2004.

Many people are comfortable using Google Maps and MapQuest. Israel's
Telmap and MapQuest introduced MapQuest Navigator, a cellphone service
coming this summer. Carriers have not been announced.

In a survey of more than 4,000 consumers 18 and older, the C.J. Driscoll
& Associates market research firm found that about one-third of U.S.
cellular subscribers expressed a strong interest in cellphone-based
navigation assistance services. That was greater than their interest in
cellphone-based e-mail, photos, video-downloads or live TV viewing.

More than 80% said they'd pay either a monthly fee for the service or on
a per-transaction basis for driving directions. Social applications such
as locating nearby friends and finding close bars and clubs tested well
with survey participants under 35.

A Starbucks sniffer?

But LBS can also smack of Big Brother. Marketers banking on LBS have to
step gingerly. "LBS is technically feasible today. It's more a matter of
trust and privacy (among consumers)," says Deep Nishar, director of
product management at Google, which has yet to provide a mobile LBS
offering.

One scenario bandied about for years involves consumers getting text
alerts on their cellphones for discounted coffee as they wander near a
Starbucks. "Having a pop-up every time you pass by a store may be what
advertisers want, but it's not what users want," says Dan Gilmartin, who
runs consumer LBS marketing for Sprint.

Verizon Wireless COO Lowell McAdam agrees: "It would annoy me to no end
if every time I passed by a Starbucks, (the phone says) I got 20 cents off."

AstroLeap has developed a location-based couponing system called Eureka
Mobile that would require consumers to actively opt in, then expressly
seek out coffee (or whatever). Only then would they be notified of
nearby coffeehouses and possible discounts. The San Diego company hopes
to launch with major carriers in the next three to six months, says
co-founder Dan Bailey.

"I do think there's a mass-market opportunity for (location-based)
advertising," says Astroth. "But it has to be personalized,
permission-based and in the context of the activity you're participating
in."

Consumers attending a baseball game might not mind receiving a
downloaded ring tone of Take Me Out to the Ballgame. In another context,
they'd the find the sudden arrival of such a ring tone intrusive.

For now, navigation and local search seem to be the furthest along with
additional services such as traffic monitoring starting to emerge.
TeleNav in Santa Clara, Calif., helps subscribers find nearby gas
stations with the cheapest fuel prices.

"The big applications we expect to drive LBS adoption are those services
that have already succeeded in some capacity but are enhanced and become
more compelling by integrating location," says Iadarola of Frost & Sullivan.

Rod Diefendorf, a vice president at mobile search provider InfoSpace,
says that eventually, consumers will be able to search beyond general
categories — such as finding a seafood restaurant — to satisfy
particular cravings for lobster or other menu items.

Photography is another emerging area. Digital snapshots typically
capture information, including the time and date an image was taken, and
the kind of camera used. Now, companies are starting to add "location
stamps."

Otherwise, "one year down the road, you have no idea where those
pictures were taken," says Kanwar Chadha, founder of LBS chipmaker SIRF
Technology. Location-stamped pictures might also help you resolve
insurance disputes, or locate all the vacation pictures you took by the
Eiffel Tower.

Disney's presence and the peace of mind that comes with making sure
loved ones are safe would seem to be a big driver toward ensuring LBS'
success. But Allyn Hall, the director of the wireless practice at the
In-Stat research firm remains skeptical: "When I call my wife and want
to know where she is, I ask her," he says.

Still, Ben Starkey uses TeleNav on his Nextel cellphone to keep on top
of his pregnant financée's whereabouts. "It's a comfort thing," says
Starkey, a data technician in Roanoke, Va., who jokes that the phone
best not be turned off or he'll be in the doghouse.

"We've been saying LBS is coming since 1999," says Sal Dhanani, senior
marketing director of TeleNav. "This time, it feels a little more real."

Find this article at:
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/products/services/2006-06-01-location_x.htm

Wednesday, June 07, 2006

Excellent white paper on Web 2.0 concepts

What Is Web 2.0
Design Patterns and Business Models for the Next Generation of Software

http://www.oreillynet.com/lpt/a/6228

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

Cell Phones Take 30 Percent Slice of 88 Million Navigation Market

Cell Phones Take 30 Percent Slice of 88 Million Navigation Market by 2010, Strategic Analytics

Boston, MA - May 24, 2006 --
The Q4-05 Strategy Analytics survey of new car buyers across the US and Europe indicates that at least 18 percent of drivers require maps or directions more than 20 percent of the time. The vast majority of consumers, however, over 60 percent, only spend five percent of their travel time going beyond familiar destinations


Tuesday, May 09, 2006

pay per call advertising avg $7

http://www.pcworld.com/news/article/0,aid,123705,00.asp

New Model, New Profits

The acknowledgment by search giants Google and Yahoo that they are
dipping their toes into pay-per-call is significant news for the new
online ad model, said Greg Sterling, a Kelsey Group analyst. It is also
good news for companies that would rather generate calls than Web site
clicks from their online ads, Sterling said.

If Google were to fully embrace pay-per-call, the benefits would include
getting a higher revenue rate than from pay-per-click, because
pay-per-call ads in general tend to be more expensive, he said.
Typically they start at around $2 per call, average about $7, and can
cost more than $30, Sterling said.

Advertisers are generally willing to pay more for a call than for a
click because a prospective client who calls is presumably closer to
making a buying decision than one who visits a Web site, he said.

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

tomTom 2nd quarter 2006

TomTom said the average selling price (ASP) fell to 305 euros from 337

euros in the fourth quarter, but it held above an average expectation of
290 euros in a Reuters poll of 11 analysts as the company sold more
high-end models than in the fourth quarter.

TomTom sold 762,000 devices,

Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) slipped to 50 million euros
($61.9 million) from 67 million in the fourth quarter,

TomTom's EBIT margin fell to 20 percent from 23 percent in the fourth
quarter, and it maintained its full-year EBIT target of 20 percent as
well as its ASP forecast of around 300 euros.

TomTom raised its forecast for the European market for portable

navigation devices to 8 mllion units. It expects to sell between 3.6
million and 3.9 million units for revenue of 1.1 billion to 1.3 billion
euros this year.
; trade at
about 26 times estimated 2006 earnings.

Wednesday, April 19, 2006

google U.S. online classifieds advertising market is forecast to

The U.S. online classifieds advertising market is forecast to grow from
$2.6 billion this year to $4.1 billion in 2010, according to
JupiterResearch.

"Classifieds are $100 billion business globally (including listings and
ads) and every penny of that marketplace is in play. Most of it still in
print...But, even (News Corp.'s) Rupert Murdoch said last week he
doesn't know anyone under 30 who uses newspapers for classified ads."

so far we have a working prototype for the Raleigh News &
Observer for their Print/Web classifieds; AutoTrader.com (to show our
teeth to the newspaper industry) and Mobile Price Comparison (currently
using Shopping.com but if Trans Cosmos invests $3MM in our Series A
round we'll OEM this package to Become.com their newest & prized
portfolio company provided we use the MPC exclusively with the
newspapers web portals. We also developed an elegant work-around to
Speaking or Keying the 12 digit UPC in a cell phone. User's in the next
release will be able to Speak the name of the Manufacturer (Sony) and
Model Name (Cyber Shot W7) digital camera in natural language not via
burdensom IVR prompts.

As you know when newspapers first started their web initiatives
classified ads that would also run in their online web portal was an
Opt-In UpSell of $x.00. Nowaday's it's an Opt-Out business model for
newspapers. In Jax the Opt Out discount is about $10.00 and $25.00 if
it's Real Estate. What if NewCo could "Voice Enable" on a national
basis 500,000 ads @ $10.00 for an UpSell rate? Split this 50:50 with
the newspaper partner that then equals $2.5M for NewCo. The question
then becomes is this a weekly goal or monthly goal? There's zero burden
to the newspaper partners.... only upside revenue for them!!!! The
factor in a NewCo initiative for Online Classifieds with eBay, Online YP
vendors, Auto Dealer web sites, Real Estate Classified Ads & their
corresponding web sites. Well, there's some damn huge numbers we're
dealing with. Our system architecture is very unique... one that we
feel will resonate with our syndicate partners. US Newspaper Print
Classified revenues is $17B.... again showing we're dealing with huge
potentials.

Guys feel free to chime in with criticisms or encouragement. I'm
looking for both of you being involved in some way, shape or form. Your
background at VCNT is poignant.

I hope to have an informal investment proposal for Trans Cosmos in the
next few days and a fully baked Biz Plan before the end of the month. I
know how Masa Okuda thinks and because TCI is an investor in BeVocal &
Nuance coupled with a few more areas of great synergy I'm keeping my
fingers crossed they invest $3M at >$10M Pre-Money valuation. Your
thoughts?

Cheers,
The U.S. online classifieds advertising market is forecast to grow from
$2.6 billion this year to $4.1 billion in 2010, according to
JupiterResearch.

"Classifieds are $100 billion business globally (including listings and
ads) and every penny of that marketplace is in play. Most of it still in
print...But, even (News Corp.'s) Rupert Murdoch said last week he
doesn't know anyone under 30 who uses newspapers for classified ads

so far we have a working prototype for the Raleigh News &
Observer for their Print/Web classifieds; AutoTrader.com (to show our
teeth to the newspaper industry) and Mobile Price Comparison (currently
using Shopping.com but if Trans Cosmos invests $3MM in our Series A
round we'll OEM this package to Become.com their newest & prized
portfolio company provided we use the MPC exclusively with the
newspapers web portals. We also developed an elegant work-around to
Speaking or Keying the 12 digit UPC in a cell phone. User's in the next
release will be able to Speak the name of the Manufacturer (Sony) and
Model Name (Cyber Shot W7) digital camera in natural language not via
burdensom IVR prompts.

As you know when newspapers first started their web initiatives
classified ads that would also run in their online web portal was an
Opt-In UpSell of $x.00. Nowaday's it's an Opt-Out business model for
newspapers. In Jax the Opt Out discount is about $10.00 and $25.00 if
it's Real Estate. What if NewCo could "Voice Enable" on a national
basis 500,000 ads @ $10.00 for an UpSell rate? Split this 50:50 with
the newspaper partner that then equals $2.5M for NewCo. The question
then becomes is this a weekly goal or monthly goal? There's zero burden
to the newspaper partners.... only upside revenue for them!!!! The
factor in a NewCo initiative for Online Classifieds with eBay, Online YP
vendors, Auto Dealer web sites, Real Estate Classified Ads & their
corresponding web sites. Well, there's some damn huge numbers we're
dealing with. Our system architecture is very unique... one that we
feel will resonate with our syndicate partners. US Newspaper Print
Classified revenues is $17B.... again showing we're dealing with huge
potentials.

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

US online classifieds Jupiter


> The U.S. online classifieds advertising market is forecast to grow from
> $2.6 billion this year to $4.1 billion in 2010, according to
> JupiterResearch.
>
>
>
> "Classifieds are $100 billion business globally (including listings and
> ads) and every penny of that marketplace is in play.


US Newspaper Print
> Classified revenues is $17B.... again showing we're dealing with huge
> potentials.
>

MObile Search revenues

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/12356390/print/1/displaymode/1098/

Google is testing the next big thing in search: voice.

market for mobile search is expected to be
huge: A recent Piper Jaffray research report forecasts that it will
reach $11 billion by 2008.

Saturday, April 15, 2006

Silicon Valley start-ups rush to bring you information on the go

http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/13669409.htm?template=contentModules/printstory.jsp

Friday, March 31, 2006

1.45 mil portable nav device in US

One-point-45 million Portable Navigation Devices (PNDs) are expected to
be sold in the U.S. in 2005, versus 1.17 million in-vehicle systems,
according to a May 13 research report from TRG. By 2011, it forecasts
sales of 17.8 million portable devices to 4.4 million in-vehicle units.
Worldwide sales are expected to show similar growth.

http://sanjose.bizjournals.com/sanjose/stories/2005/05/23/smallb2.html?t=printable

portable nav devices europe 2005

Portable navigation systems more popular than ever
10.3.2006.



Nuremberg, March 10, 2006 – Last year, more than 400,000 portable navigation devices were sold in Germany, which represents a seven fold increase on 2004. In western Europe, total sales in 2005 stood at around 2.0 million units. Compared with the previous year, this is a ten fold rise. These are the findings of the GfK retail panel, which is used to track sales in this product group in nine western European countries.




In 2005, total sales of in-car electronics in Germany, which comprise car stereos and speakers, amplifiers, CD changers, multimedia and navigation systems, were up 29% on the previous year to 625 million euros. One of the reasons for this is the high level of demand for portable navigation equipment. Sales of 400,000 units totaled 192 million euros. Demand was particularly high in the run-up to Christmas, with total sales of portable navigation equipment amounting to 61.9 million euros in the period December 2005 to January 2006. In the same period in the prior year (December 2004 to January 2005), only 16.6 million euros were spent on such products.

The positive trend resulted mainly from the fact that prices for these systems have come down significantly. In 2004, portable navigation devices cost on average 600 euros in Germany, whereas the average price is 420 euros now, with some systems available for less than 200 euros.

More than 50% of all equipment is sold by electronics retailers. Almost one in five navigation devices are bought in PC or mobile phone shops, with department stores and mail order companies, online shops, car hi-fi specialists and specialist car accessory stores accounting for 14% market share each. In addition, food discount stores are also offering these products at irregular intervals. These stores sold tens of thousands of devices last year.

Demand is highest in the UK

The market has developed well in all western European countries. With 2.0 million units sold, sales of portable navigation equipment rose ten fold in 2005 compared with the prior year. The country comparison confirms the UK in first place with a total of 670,000 devices sold. Germany (407,000), France (295,000), Italy (186,800) and the Netherlands (129,600) follow. Above-average sales compared with consumer electronics sales as a whole were also recorded in Spain, Belgium, Austria and Switzerland.



High consumer demand generated an increase in the number of providers in Europe from ten at the end of 2004 to 42 by the end of last year. Demand is likely to rise in eastern European countries over the coming years in line with continually improving reception via digital cards.

The study


GfK Marketing Services provides continuous tracking services of portable navigation equipment in thirteen western European countries. Data on retail sales to consumers is collected for individual items on a monthly basis, as is information about market share, sales channel structures, price categories and retail bestseller lists. Data can be obtained from GfK on a one-off or continuous basis.

The countries covered by the survey are Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria and Switzerland. The latest additions as of 2006 are Denmark, Sweden, Finland and Portugal.




Arndt Polifke
GfK Marketing Services
Tel. +49 911 395-3116
Fax +49 911 395-4019
e-mail: arndt.polifke@gfk.com
Dr. Ulrike Schöneberg
Public Affairs and Communications
Tel. +49 911 395-2645
Fax +49 911 395-4041
e-mail: ulrike.schoeneberg@gfk.com